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Red67
685426.2
926319.2
238631.4
Blue139
270641.9
492047.3
373936.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6313105010015020067139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#18
31.40.0
28.828.7
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End5.9
blue by 15.9
4920
#10
47.31.3
40.541.8
Auto14.1
Teleop24.7
End7.5
Second
6854
#26
26.20.0
21.221.2
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End8.5
blue by 15.7
2706
#22
41.91.3
39.140.4
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End8.3
Third
9263
#35
19.20.0
17.617.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End8.7
blue by 17.2
3739
#38
36.31.3
34.535.8
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed