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Red149
467871.9
772224.6
270827.4
Blue114
876433.3
494661.4
587026.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341150200300400500600149114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.90.6
68.567.9
Auto19.4
Teleop43.3
End7.3
red by 10.5
61.40.3
53.653.8
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
Second
2708
#29
27.40.6
28.628.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
blue by 5.9
8764
#16
33.30.3
29.830.1
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End6.2
Third
7722
#34
24.60.6
25.825.2
Auto11.7
Teleop6.2
End6.9
blue by 2.2
5870
#28
26.80.3
26.726.9
Auto9.8
Teleop11.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsMissed55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed