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Red137
128538.8
490763.8
559623.4
Blue100
772224.6
270641.9
201347.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121121100110130140137100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.81.3
60.061.3
Auto15.7
Teleop38.1
End9.2
red by 16.2
2013
#21
47.60.9
48.147.2
Auto14.2
Teleop26.4
End6.3
Second
1285
#36
38.81.3
35.136.4
Auto12.0
Teleop20.9
End6.0
blue by 3.1
2706
#22
41.90.9
41.040.1
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End8.3
Third
5596
#32
23.41.3
18.119.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End6.7
blue by 1.2
7722
#34
24.60.9
24.423.5
Auto11.7
Teleop6.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed