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Red120
686522.4
747624.2
111458.5
Blue156
406951.1
467871.9
686428.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9615150200120156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#17
58.50.9
56.757.6
Auto14.6
Teleop35.5
End8.0
blue by 13.4
71.91.1
67.168.2
Auto19.4
Teleop43.3
End7.3
Second
7476
#37
24.20.9
24.325.2
Auto6.7
Teleop11.7
End5.9
blue by 26.9
51.11.1
47.048.0
Auto14.5
Teleop28.5
End8.2
Third
6865
#40
22.40.9
15.916.7
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 5.8
6864
#24
28.21.1
20.621.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned