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Red136
406951.1
685426.2
769035.4
Blue126
201347.6
491743.9
373936.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113135050200250300350136126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.8
48.049.9
Auto14.5
Teleop28.5
End8.2
red by 3.5
2013
#21
47.60.2
47.247.3
Auto14.2
Teleop26.4
End6.3
Second
7690
#27
35.41.8
36.938.7
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End7.0
blue by 8.5
4917
#23
43.90.2
41.741.9
Auto11.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
Third
6854
#26
26.21.8
23.825.6
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End8.5
blue by 10.1
3739
#38
36.30.2
34.834.9
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned