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Red115
588530.5
747624.2
132567.1
Blue162
490763.8
698723.4
434339.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712690100110120140150160170115162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.10.6
65.064.4
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
red by 3.2
63.81.6
61.362.8
Auto15.7
Teleop38.1
End9.2
Second
5885
#19
30.50.6
29.328.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End5.9
blue by 9.3
4343
#12
39.81.6
38.039.6
Auto11.8
Teleop22.3
End5.6
Third
7476
#37
24.20.6
25.224.6
Auto6.7
Teleop11.7
End5.9
red by 0.9
6987
#39
23.41.6
19.220.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned