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Red111
128538.8
201347.6
270827.4
Blue117
775728.1
686522.4
131049.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126100406080140160180200111117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#21
47.60.3
48.448.1
Auto14.2
Teleop26.4
End6.3
blue by 2.2
1310
#11
49.81.4
48.950.3
Auto16.3
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Second
1285
#36
38.80.3
39.639.3
Auto12.0
Teleop20.9
End6.0
red by 10.7
7757
#30
28.11.4
26.728.1
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End6.3
Third
2708
#29
27.40.3
27.026.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2
red by 5.0
6865
#40
22.41.4
21.022.4
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsEarned