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Red97
769035.4
61047.8
434339.8
Blue128
238631.4
373936.3
111458.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14013110012016018020097128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#13
47.83.4
51.648.3
Auto14.2
Teleop24.1
End8.7
blue by 10.7
1114
#17DQ
58.50.1
57.957.8
Auto14.6
Teleop35.5
End8.0
Second
4343
#12
39.83.4
41.337.9
Auto11.8
Teleop22.3
End5.6
red by 3.5
3739
#38
36.30.1
34.534.4
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.7
Third
7690
#27
35.43.4
39.936.5
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End7.0
red by 4.0
2386
#18
31.40.1
31.431.4
Auto10.9
Teleop14.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsMissed80%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned