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Red176
494661.4
872931.3
467871.9
Blue113
270641.9
201347.6
434339.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165130100150200176113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.90.3
68.769.1
Auto19.4
Teleop43.3
End7.3
red by 24.3
2013
#21
47.60.4
48.147.7
Auto14.2
Teleop26.4
End6.3
Second
61.40.3
58.258.5
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
red by 19.4
2706
#22
41.90.4
42.542.0
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End8.3
Third
8729
#25
31.30.3
28.128.5
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End8.9
blue by 8.4
4343
#12
39.80.4
40.339.9
Auto11.8
Teleop22.3
End5.6