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Red110
293533.6
752018.3
270241.3
Blue126
260947.5
808922.9
132565.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83156050100200250110126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#13
41.31.2
40.041.2
Auto14.5
Teleop22.4
End4.3
blue by 24.0
65.30.8
70.870.0
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End9.9
Second
2935
#9Sur
33.61.2
28.129.3
Auto12.7
Teleop14.6
End6.4
blue by 13.9
2609
#4Sur
47.50.8
45.144.3
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End8.3
Third
7520
#14
18.31.2
19.620.7
Auto7.4
Teleop5.7
End5.5
blue by 4.5
8089
#18
22.90.8
22.621.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned