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Red104
999617.4
999520.2
368358.3
Blue120
999136.3
999316.8
467871.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96118050150104120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.31.8
56.955.0
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End9.3
blue by 13.1
71.40.8
66.365.5
Auto19.0
Teleop42.1
End7.6
Second
9995
#24
20.23.0
25.222.1
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End5.0
blue by 16.1
9991
#10
36.31.3
28.226.9
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End9.3
Third
9996
#21
17.43.0
15.312.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End7.5
red by 0.6
9993
#15
16.81.3
25.223.9
Auto6.2
Teleop5.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsMissed47%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed