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Red43
999222.6
559618.1
876428.6
Blue97
131052.2
434330.1
999423.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5313701002002503004397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8764
#17
28.62.0
31.629.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End5.6
blue by 23.6
52.21.0
51.950.9
Auto16.5
Teleop26.8
End8.3
Second
9992
#20
22.63.3
18.915.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End6.1
blue by 7.5
4343
#23
30.11.0
38.337.3
Auto7.8
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Third
5596
#16
18.12.0
21.719.8
Auto6.1
Teleop6.8
End5.7
blue by 5.6
9994
#22
23.71.7
21.920.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsMissed