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Red111
368358.3
752018.3
571924.0
Blue81
808922.9
999520.2
131052.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103105608012014011181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.5
53.854.3
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End9.3
red by 6.1
52.21.0
50.149.1
Auto16.5
Teleop26.8
End8.3
Second
5719
#19
24.00.5
26.627.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End4.9
red by 1.1
8089
#18
22.91.0
21.920.9
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Third
7520
#14
18.30.5
18.519.0
Auto7.4
Teleop5.7
End5.5
blue by 1.9
9995
#24
20.21.7
19.117.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed