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Red136
999423.7
467871.4
583426.5
Blue150
999316.8
403960.4
876428.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136111050100150200136150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.40.8
64.865.6
Auto19.0
Teleop42.1
End7.6
red by 10.9
60.43.1
55.158.1
Auto14.7
Teleop36.5
End8.0
Second
26.50.8
31.832.6
Auto10.3
Teleop11.7
End4.7
blue by 2.1
8764
#17
28.63.1
27.430.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End5.6
Third
9994
#22
23.71.3
22.523.8
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End8.0
red by 6.9
9993
#15
16.85.1
21.726.8
Auto6.2
Teleop5.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned