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Red109
293533.6
434330.1
540654.9
Blue112
872928.5
260947.5
999136.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12995050150200250109112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.5
52.351.8
Auto16.3
Teleop30.3
End7.5
red by 7.4
47.50.6
45.746.3
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End8.3
Second
33.60.5
30.229.7
Auto12.7
Teleop14.6
End6.4
blue by 2.7
9991
#10
36.31.0
28.229.3
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End9.3
Third
4343
#23
30.10.5
34.033.5
Auto7.8
Teleop19.3
End2.8
red by 1.6
8729
#11
28.50.6
28.729.3
Auto10.9
Teleop11.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned