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Red64
857413.3
999222.6
999423.7
Blue125
752018.3
999617.4
467871.4
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42110010015020064125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9994
#22
23.71.2
23.825.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End8.0
blue by 47.7
71.41.3
65.666.8
Auto19.0
Teleop42.1
End7.6
Second
9992
#20
22.61.2
17.418.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End6.1
red by 4.3
7520
#14
18.31.3
19.020.3
Auto7.4
Teleop5.7
End5.5
Third
8574
#26
13.30.7
11.812.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End2.7
blue by 4.0
9996
#21
17.42.1
16.518.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned