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Red139
808922.9
131052.2
403960.4
Blue69
270241.3
263425.4
999316.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210405020025030013969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.1
58.158.2
Auto14.7
Teleop36.5
End8.0
red by 19.1
2702
#13
41.32.4
43.841.4
Auto14.5
Teleop22.4
End4.3
Second
52.20.1
49.149.1
Auto16.5
Teleop26.8
End8.3
red by 26.8
2634
#25
25.42.4
29.827.4
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End5.9
Third
8089
#18
22.90.1
20.920.9
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End7.2
red by 6.1
9993
#15
16.84.0
26.822.7
Auto6.2
Teleop5.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed