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Red85
540654.9
876428.6
872928.5
Blue77
571924.0
293533.6
559618.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126760501001502002508577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.91.8
51.850.0
Auto16.3
Teleop30.3
End7.5
red by 21.3
33.60.1
29.729.7
Auto12.7
Teleop14.6
End6.4
Second
8764
#17
28.61.8
30.428.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End5.6
red by 4.6
5719
#19
24.00.1
28.228.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End4.9
Third
8729
#11
28.51.8
29.327.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.9
End6.1
red by 10.4
5596
#16
18.10.1
18.018.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned