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Red124
999222.6
999136.3
540654.9
Blue103
270241.3
872928.5
403960.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80147050100200250300124103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.91.5
50.952.4
Auto16.3
Teleop30.3
End7.5
blue by 5.5
60.42.1
59.957.8
Auto14.7
Teleop36.5
End8.0
Second
9991
#10
36.32.2
31.834.0
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End9.3
blue by 5.0
2702
#13
41.32.1
41.439.3
Auto14.5
Teleop22.4
End4.3
Third
9992
#20
22.62.2
18.520.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End6.1
blue by 5.9
8729
#11
28.52.1
28.426.3
Auto10.9
Teleop11.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed45%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsMissed