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Red45
263425.4
571924.0
583426.5
Blue104
999423.7
999617.4
293533.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956605015020025030035045104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.52.6
30.828.2
Auto10.3
Teleop11.7
End4.7
blue by 7.1
33.62.6
29.131.7
Auto12.7
Teleop14.6
End6.4
Second
2634
#25
25.42.6
26.724.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End5.9
red by 1.7
9994
#22
23.73.4
22.125.6
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End8.0
Third
5719
#19
24.02.6
25.923.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End4.9
red by 6.6
9996
#21
17.43.4
14.017.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned