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Red57
559618.1
999316.8
260947.5
Blue47
857413.3
999520.2
752018.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1035601502002505747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.52.0
46.344.3
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End8.3
red by 27.3
9995
#24
20.21.3
23.422.1
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End5.0
Second
5596
#16
18.12.0
19.617.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.8
End5.7
blue by 0.2
7520
#14
18.31.0
20.019.0
Auto7.4
Teleop5.7
End5.5
Third
9993
#15
16.82.7
21.218.6
Auto6.2
Teleop5.0
End6.0
red by 3.5
8574
#26
13.31.0
13.312.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed