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Red150
467871.4
540654.9
263425.4
Blue74
790223.7
999136.3
752018.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16759010015020025030015074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.40.2
68.168.3
Auto19.0
Teleop42.1
End7.6
red by 35.1
9991
#10
36.30.3
34.934.7
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End9.3
Second
54.90.2
53.253.4
Auto16.3
Teleop30.3
End7.5
red by 31.2
7902
#12
23.70.2
23.523.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.8
End6.2
Third
2634
#25
25.40.2
24.124.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End5.9
red by 7.1
7520
#14
18.30.2
19.018.8
Auto7.4
Teleop5.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned