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Red60
999316.8
808922.9
434330.1
Blue92
583426.5
132565.3
876428.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691430501002002506092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#23
30.11.0
30.729.7
Auto7.8
Teleop19.3
End2.8
blue by 35.2
65.32.5
68.165.6
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End9.9
Second
8089
#18
22.91.0
20.819.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End7.2
blue by 5.7
8764
#17
28.62.5
29.627.1
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End5.6
Third
9993
#15
16.81.2
18.617.3
Auto6.2
Teleop5.0
End6.0
blue by 9.7
26.52.5
28.225.8
Auto10.3
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed75%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned