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Red120
999222.6
403960.4
293533.6
Blue142
571924.0
131052.2
260947.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108133050150200250300350120142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.5
58.959.3
Auto14.7
Teleop36.5
End8.0
red by 8.3
52.21.1
51.352.4
Auto16.5
Teleop26.8
End8.3
Second
33.60.5
32.432.9
Auto12.7
Teleop14.6
End6.4
blue by 13.9
47.51.1
45.346.4
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End8.3
Third
9992
#20
22.60.6
21.522.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End6.1
blue by 1.4
5719
#19
24.01.1
23.424.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned