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Red45
999617.4
263425.4
999222.6
Blue102
876428.6
270241.3
260947.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45142010020025030045102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#25
25.42.6
36.333.6
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End5.9
blue by 22.1
47.51.6
46.845.1
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End8.3
Second
9992
#20
22.64.3
23.218.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End6.1
blue by 18.7
2702
#13
41.31.6
41.740.0
Auto14.5
Teleop22.4
End4.3
Third
9996
#21
17.44.3
19.615.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End7.5
blue by 11.2
8764
#17
28.61.6
33.331.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed64%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed