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Red124
403960.4
571924.0
999136.3
Blue112
808922.9
132565.3
752018.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104123050150200250300350400124112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.8
55.055.8
Auto14.7
Teleop36.5
End8.0
blue by 4.9
65.30.1
70.970.8
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End9.9
Second
9991
#10
36.31.4
26.828.2
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End9.3
red by 13.4
8089
#18
22.90.1
22.722.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Third
5719
#19
24.00.8
29.730.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End4.9
red by 5.7
7520
#14
18.30.1
19.719.6
Auto7.4
Teleop5.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned