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Red110
876428.6
540654.9
999136.3
Blue161
403960.4
260947.5
263425.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120144050100200250300350400110161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.2
55.254.9
Auto16.3
Teleop30.3
End7.5
blue by 5.5
60.40.3
59.760.0
Auto14.7
Teleop36.5
End8.0
Second
9991
#10
36.30.3
36.636.3
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End9.3
blue by 11.2
47.50.3
46.847.1
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End8.3
Third
8764
#17
28.60.2
28.828.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End5.6
red by 3.2
2634
#25
25.40.3
24.725.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End5.9