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Red147
263425.4
260947.5
403960.4
Blue132
131052.2
132565.3
999617.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140140110120130150160170147132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.1
59.659.7
Auto14.7
Teleop36.5
End8.0
blue by 4.9
65.30.0
65.465.3
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End9.9
Second
47.50.1
46.746.8
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End8.3
blue by 4.7
52.20.0
52.252.2
Auto16.5
Teleop26.8
End8.3
Third
2634
#25
25.40.1
24.524.7
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End5.9
red by 8.0
9996
#21
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End7.5