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Red149
876428.6
540654.9
999136.3
Blue177
368358.3
808922.9
467871.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113164050100150200250300149177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.7
54.555.2
Auto16.3
Teleop30.3
End7.5
blue by 16.4
71.40.5
69.770.2
Auto19.0
Teleop42.1
End7.6
Second
9991
#10
36.30.8
35.836.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.4
End9.3
blue by 22.0
58.30.5
56.657.1
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End9.3
Third
8764
#17
28.60.7
28.228.8
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End5.6
red by 5.7
8089
#18
22.90.5
21.221.7
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End7.2