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Red131
263425.4
260947.5
403960.4
Blue82
583426.5
293533.6
559618.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1517405010020025013182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.1
59.759.6
Auto14.7
Teleop36.5
End8.0
red by 26.8
33.60.1
33.533.6
Auto12.7
Teleop14.6
End6.4
Second
47.50.1
46.846.7
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End8.3
red by 21.0
26.50.1
26.426.5
Auto10.3
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Third
2634
#25
25.40.1
24.624.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End5.9
red by 7.3
5596
#16
18.10.1
18.018.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.8
End5.7