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Red131
999617.4
132565.3
131052.2
Blue100
270241.3
872928.5
999423.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14797050200250131100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.30.3
65.765.4
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End9.9
red by 24.0
2702
#13
41.30.0
41.341.3
Auto14.5
Teleop22.4
End4.3
Second
52.20.3
52.552.2
Auto16.5
Teleop26.8
End8.3
red by 23.7
8729
#11
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto10.9
Teleop11.9
End6.1
Third
9996
#21
17.40.3
17.817.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End7.5
blue by 6.3
9994
#22
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End8.0