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Red182
124153.2
132564.4
220054.1
Blue71
888430.5
18822.2
750921.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1636205010015020025018271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.42.8
50.953.7
Auto14.6
Teleop40.8
End8.2
red by 33.9
30.50.4
29.028.6
Auto9.0
Teleop11.9
End9.7
Second
54.12.8
44.947.7
Auto15.4
Teleop31.2
End7.3
red by 31.9
188
#35
22.20.4
24.824.5
Auto9.7
Teleop7.4
End5.1
Third
53.22.8
48.150.8
Auto14.4
Teleop30.6
End8.2
red by 31.7
7509
#12
21.50.4
17.517.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsMissed