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Red109
772223.5
702222.8
131042.6
Blue112
540652.9
906220.5
876516.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8479050150200250300350109112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.7
38.138.8
Auto15.5
Teleop18.7
End8.3
blue by 10.2
52.92.1
44.046.1
Auto14.8
Teleop30.4
End7.7
Second
7722
#34
23.50.7
22.823.5
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End7.7
red by 3.0
9062
#26
20.52.1
16.218.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End6.3
Third
7022
#16
22.80.7
17.618.3
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End5.7
red by 6.2
8765
#23
16.62.1
14.716.9
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned