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Red77
401512.5
614027.7
637824.9
Blue124
906220.5
238625.4
205681.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56138010015020077124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6140
#24
27.70.9
24.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End6.7
blue by 54.2
81.90.0
74.574.5
Auto19.8
Teleop51.9
End9.2
Second
6378
#13
24.90.9
23.024.0
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End5.9
blue by 0.5
2386
#19
25.40.0
26.126.1
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Third
4015
#33
12.51.6
15.517.1
Auto0.8
Teleop7.6
End4.2
blue by 8.0
9062
#26
20.50.0
18.518.5
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsMissed