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Red115
686521.3
685417.9
132564.4
Blue86
434333.9
697517.4
499224.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108625015011586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.41.0
55.356.3
Auto14.6
Teleop40.8
End8.2
red by 30.6
4343
#11
33.91.5
30.932.4
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
6865
#18
21.31.0
22.423.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End5.4
blue by 3.6
4992
#21
24.81.5
18.920.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End5.8
Third
6854
#31
17.91.0
17.518.5
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End7.8
red by 0.5
6975
#29
17.41.5
14.215.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsEarned