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Red103
434333.9
720027.9
637824.9
Blue108
750921.5
124153.2
499224.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638502040100120140160103108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#11
33.92.4
26.028.4
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.1
blue by 19.4
53.21.7
46.348.0
Auto14.4
Teleop30.6
End8.2
Second
7200
#17
27.92.4
16.518.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End6.8
red by 3.1
4992
#21
24.81.7
17.118.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End5.8
Third
6378
#13
24.92.4
19.722.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End5.9
red by 3.4
7509
#12
21.51.7
13.615.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned