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Red99
613521.7
876516.6
132564.4
Blue107
614027.7
685417.9
540652.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8977020030040050060070099107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.5
47.848.3
Auto14.6
Teleop40.8
End8.2
red by 11.6
52.92.2
41.143.3
Auto14.8
Teleop30.4
End7.7
Second
6135
#32
21.70.6
19.319.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
blue by 6.0
6140
#24
27.72.2
16.819.0
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End6.7
Third
8765
#23
16.60.5
14.615.1
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End3.0
blue by 1.2
6854
#31
17.92.2
16.018.2
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned