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Red100
220054.1
765922.6
876516.6
Blue119
131042.6
888430.5
614027.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981066080120140100119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.5
54.655.1
Auto15.4
Teleop31.2
End7.3
red by 11.4
42.61.0
41.142.2
Auto15.5
Teleop18.7
End8.3
Second
7659
#22
22.60.5
21.321.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.8
End6.6
blue by 7.9
30.51.0
31.532.6
Auto9.0
Teleop11.9
End9.7
Third
8765
#23
16.60.5
16.917.4
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End3.0
blue by 11.0
6140
#24
27.71.0
25.726.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned