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Red78
540652.9
401512.5
876423.3
Blue165
499224.8
205681.9
697836.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891485010020078165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.9
52.451.5
Auto14.8
Teleop30.4
End7.7
blue by 29.0
81.92.3
77.079.2
Auto19.8
Teleop51.9
End9.2
Second
8764
#25
23.30.9
24.623.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End5.3
blue by 13.0
6978
#10
36.22.3
32.735.0
Auto12.8
Teleop16.9
End6.6
Third
4015
#33
12.51.1
13.812.6
Auto0.8
Teleop7.6
End4.2
blue by 12.3
4992
#21
24.82.3
21.423.6
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned