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Red199
499224.8
132564.4
205681.9
Blue143
772223.5
220054.1
540652.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181130100150200250199143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.90.6
80.981.5
Auto19.8
Teleop51.9
End9.2
red by 27.8
54.10.3
53.553.8
Auto15.4
Teleop31.2
End7.3
Second
64.40.6
63.464.0
Auto14.6
Teleop40.8
End8.2
red by 11.6
52.90.3
52.352.6
Auto14.8
Teleop30.4
End7.7
Third
4992
#21
24.80.6
23.924.4
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End5.8
red by 1.3
7722
#34
23.50.3
22.923.2
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End7.7