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Red141
685417.9
124153.2
260948.5
Blue106
697836.2
705825.8
876516.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1407450100150200141106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.1
54.454.5
Auto14.4
Teleop30.6
End8.2
red by 17.0
6978
#10
36.20.4
35.836.2
Auto12.8
Teleop16.9
End6.6
Second
48.50.1
49.749.8
Auto14.5
Teleop26.4
End7.6
red by 22.7
25.80.4
25.425.8
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End6.9
Third
6854
#31
17.90.1
19.119.2
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End7.8
red by 1.2
8765
#23
16.60.4
16.216.6
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End3.0