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Red115
614027.7
888430.5
131042.6
Blue111
434333.9
18822.2
238625.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1177950100150115111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.2
44.044.2
Auto15.5
Teleop18.7
End8.3
red by 8.8
4343
#11
33.90.7
33.233.9
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
30.50.2
31.932.1
Auto9.0
Teleop11.9
End9.7
red by 5.2
2386
#19
25.40.7
24.725.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Third
6140
#24
27.70.2
29.129.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End6.7
red by 5.5
188
#35
22.20.7
21.522.2
Auto9.7
Teleop7.4
End5.1