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Red179
499224.8
132564.4
205681.9
Blue101
131042.6
888430.5
614027.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18510150150200250179101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.90.4
80.580.9
Auto19.8
Teleop51.9
End9.2
red by 39.3
42.60.1
44.144.0
Auto15.5
Teleop18.7
End8.3
Second
64.40.4
63.163.4
Auto14.6
Teleop40.8
End8.2
red by 33.9
30.50.1
32.031.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.9
End9.7
Third
4992
#21
24.80.4
23.523.9
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End5.8
blue by 2.9
6140
#24
27.70.1
29.229.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End6.7