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Red26
21619.8
67258.9
461716.6
Blue57
28816.1
888426.7
270823.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4466020801001201402657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#14
19.81.2
14.213.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End2.9
blue by 6.9
8884
#23
26.70.8
23.122.3
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End8.7
Second
4617
#25
16.62.0
17.315.3
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End5.9
blue by 7.2
2708
#19
23.80.8
19.018.2
Auto9.7
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Third
6725
#31
8.92.0
12.310.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End3.3
blue by 7.3
288
#16
16.10.5
17.216.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsMissed