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Red84
21619.8
616217.5
546049.2
Blue132
490748.7
911314.1
128539.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8395406010012014084132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#10
49.20.0
46.746.6
Auto13.8
Teleop26.7
End8.6
red by 0.5
48.74.9
39.944.9
Auto11.9
Teleop29.0
End7.8
Second
216
#14
19.80.0
13.013.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End2.9
blue by 19.2
39.03.0
36.739.6
Auto11.7
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Third
6162
#32
17.50.1
19.919.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End2.9
red by 3.4
9113
#27
14.13.0
10.913.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned