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Red90
499217.1
747517.4
808926.5
Blue44
878912.9
607015.5
888426.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565402040809044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8089
#17
26.50.9
27.528.3
Auto9.9
Teleop10.9
End5.7
blue by 0.2
8884
#23
26.70.7
22.321.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End8.7
Second
7475
#30
17.40.9
14.115.0
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End5.9
red by 1.9
6070
#20
15.50.7
16.415.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
4992
#24
17.10.9
10.711.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End4.5
red by 4.2
8789
#33
12.90.7
12.011.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed