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Red125
502437.6
491738.8
490748.7
Blue78
373933.6
685416.0
587026.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12658010015020012578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.71.7
44.946.6
Auto11.9
Teleop29.0
End7.8
red by 15.1
3739
#12
33.61.0
27.428.4
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End7.0
Second
4917
#11
38.81.7
36.738.4
Auto12.6
Teleop19.2
End7.0
red by 12.7
5870
#18
26.11.7
20.522.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End9.0
Third
37.61.7
28.029.7
Auto12.9
Teleop16.3
End8.3
red by 21.6
6854
#28
16.01.7
14.816.5
Auto7.0
Teleop2.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned