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Red100
926318.7
888426.7
132547.8
Blue112
808926.5
403956.6
124146.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8014750100200100112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.1
45.947.0
Auto10.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
blue by 8.8
56.61.2
56.855.6
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End8.0
Second
8884
#23
26.71.9
21.523.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End8.7
blue by 19.6
46.31.2
45.244.0
Auto11.4
Teleop25.5
End9.4
Third
9263
#26
18.71.9
15.917.8
Auto8.2
Teleop4.6
End6.0
blue by 7.8
8089
#17
26.52.0
28.326.4
Auto9.9
Teleop10.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsMissed