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Red114
21619.8
490748.7
540641.1
Blue107
201339.4
132547.8
28816.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106103406080120140160180114107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.71.3
44.946.2
Auto11.9
Teleop29.0
End7.8
red by 0.9
47.80.6
46.146.7
Auto10.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
Second
41.11.3
37.338.6
Auto10.7
Teleop23.3
End7.2
red by 1.7
2013
#13
39.40.6
36.136.7
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End8.5
Third
216
#14
19.81.0
17.218.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End2.9
red by 3.6
288
#16DQ
16.10.6
15.315.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned