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Red67
67258.9
808926.5
24425.8
Blue69
461716.6
587026.1
616217.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61552040801006769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8089
#17
26.50.9
23.224.1
Auto9.9
Teleop10.9
End5.7
red by 0.4
5870
#18
26.11.5
22.023.4
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End9.0
Second
244
#8
25.80.7
25.025.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.7
End8.4
red by 8.3
6162
#32
17.51.5
17.118.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End2.9
Third
6725
#31
8.90.9
8.29.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End3.3
blue by 7.7
4617
#25
16.61.5
13.515.0
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed